Predictors of Chikungunya rheumatism: a prognostic survey ancillary to the TELECHIK cohort study.

February 28, 2017 at 6:57 pm

Arthritis Res Ther. 2013 Jan 9;15(1):R9.

Gérardin P, Fianu A, Michault A, Mussard C, Boussaïd K, Rollot O, Grivard P, Kassab S, Bouquillard E, Borgherini G, Gaüzère BA, Malvy D, Bréart G, Favier F.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION:

Long-lasting relapsing or lingering rheumatic musculoskeletal pain (RMSP) is the hallmark of Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) rheumatism (CHIK-R). Little is known on their prognostic factors. The aim of this prognostic study was to search the determinants of lingering or relapsing RMSP indicative of CHIK-R.

METHODS:

Three hundred and forty-six infected adults (age≥15 years) having declared RMSP at disease onset were extracted from the TELECHIK cohort study, Reunion island, and analyzed using a multinomial logistic regression model. We also searched for the predictors of CHIKV-specific IgG titres, assessed at the time of a serosurvey, using multiple linear regression analysis.

RESULTS:

Of these, 111 (32.1%) reported relapsing RMSP, 150 (43.3%) lingering RMSP, and 85 (24.6%) had fully recovered (reference group) on average two years after acute infection. In the final model controlling for gender, the determinants of relapsing RMSP were the age 45-59 years (adjusted OR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.0, 8.6) or greater or equal than 60 years (adjusted OR: 10.4, 95% CI: 3.5, 31.1), severe rheumatic involvement (fever, at least six joints plus four other symptoms) at presentation (adjusted OR: 3.6, 95% CI: 1.5, 8.2), and CHIKV-specific IgG titres (adjusted OR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.8, 5.5, per one unit increase). Prognostic factors for lingering RMSP were age 45-59 years (adjusted OR: 6.4, 95% CI: 1.8, 22.1) or greater or equal than 60 years (adjusted OR: 22.3, 95% CI: 6.3, 78.1), severe initial rheumatic involvement (adjusted OR: 5.5, 95% CI: 2.2, 13.8) and CHIKV-specific IgG titres (adjusted OR: 6.2, 95% CI: 2.8, 13.2, per one unit increase). CHIKV specific IgG titres were positively correlated with age, female gender and the severity of initial rheumatic symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS:

Our data support the roles of age, severity at presentation and CHIKV specific IgG titres for predicting CHIK-R. By identifying the prognostic value of the humoral immune response of the host, this work also suggest a significant contribution of the adaptive immune response to the physiopathology of CHIK-R and should help to reconsider the paradigm of this chronic infection primarily shifted towards the involvement of the innate immune response.

PDF

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3672753/pdf/ar4137.pdf

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Entry filed under: Biología Molecular, Epidemiología, FIEBRE en el POST-VIAJE, FIEBRE y RASH, Infecciones emergentes, Infecciones virales, Medicina del viajero, Metodos diagnosticos, REPORTS, Sepsis, Update, Zoonosis.

Editorial – Overuse of Antibiotics in Treatment of Community-Acquired Pneumonia Requiring Hospitalization Specific management of post-chikungunya rheumatic disorders: a retrospective study of 159 cases in Reunion Island from 2006-2012.


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